On January 18, the CFP Board issued proposed changes to its process for addressing bankruptcies of CFP professionals and candidates for certification. Under the current rules, CFP certificants and candidates who experience a single bankruptcy are subject to a hearing by the Disciplinary and Ethics Commission, which may result in disciplinary action including a private letter of censure, suspension, or revocation of the marks. Under the proposed rules, the disciplinary process would be eliminated, and replaced with a disclosure process that would require CFP certificants who experience a single bankruptcy to have such bankruptcy publicly disclosed on the CFP Board's website for a period of 10 years, but no longer otherwise be subject to discipline or restrictions regarding the CFP marks. The comment period for the proposed changes ends on Friday, February 17th, and in today's blog post I share my own comment letter feedback to the rule.Read More...
One of the most common criticisms to the use of Monte Carlo in financial planning is its typical assumption that investment returns are normally distributed, when in reality the market appears to go through environments that may be more volatile than a normal distribution would predict, as highlighted by the events of the financial crisis. In the last four months of 2008 alone, the market experienced 20 high-volatility trading days with a standard deviation varying from 3.5 to almost 10... each of which should not have occurred more frequently than once per millenia to once per several billion years. Yet when we look at those returns on an annual basis, we see a very different picture - the one-year decline to the bottom in March of 2009 was a "mere" 2.5 standard deviation event, which is uncommon but entirely probable under a normal distribution. Which raises the question - are "black swans" just a short-term phenomenon that average out by the end of the year, and are we focusing too much on impossibly rare black swans instead of the rare-but-entirely-probable 2 standard deviation decline?Read More...
Enjoy the current installment of "weekend reading for financial planners" - this week's edition highlights an interesting interview with Geoff Davey of FinaMetrica about risk tolerance, some practice management issues on how economies of scale impact the client experience and moving your technology to the cloud, and a few articles exploring the big recent news from the Department of Labor regarding both finalized rules on 401(k) fee disclosure and new proposed rules about how (primarily immediate and longevity) annuities might be integrated into qualified plans. There's also an interesting look by John Mauldin at some of the economic difficulties and choices the US faces in the coming years, and a fascinating look at the problems the US faces (and some of the causes that got us to where we are) by the brilliant Woody Brock. We finish with a controversial article by Blaine Aiken of Fi360 suggesting that advisors aren't true professionals because they need a code of professional conduct similar to accountants, and a lighter piece by Angie Herbers about why a lack of confidence is not a career death knell but simply a challenge to overcome. Enjoy the reading!
The "stretch IRA" is a popular estate planning strategy, where the (typically non-spouse) beneficiary of the IRA stretches out required minimum distributions over his/her life expectancy; with a young beneficiary, such as a child or even grandchild, this can result in decades of tax deferral for a large portion of an inherited IRA.
However, the planning technique may soon come to an end. As a part of the "Highway Investment, Job Creation and Economic Growth Act of 2012" to reauthorize and replenish the Highway Trust Fund for interstate highway projects, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) has proposed a provision that would require inherited IRAs to be distributed within 5 years of the original owner's death, eliminating the ability to stretch. If passed, the new rules would take effect for all deaths that occur beginning in 2013.
While the legislation - and the amendment to require IRAs to be liquidated within 5 years after death - is still just proposed at this point, and may not ultimately pass in its current form, the fact that an elimination of the stretch IRA rules was on the table at all suggests that the window may soon close on this particular planning technique.Read More...
Last month witnessed the national conference for the Personal Financial Planning section of the AICPA – a world of CPA financial planners that have lived a relatively separate existence from “the rest” of the financial planning world. They have their own membership association (the Personal Financial Planning {PFP} section of the AICPA) with its own member benefits, their own professional designation (the Personal Financial Specialist {PFS}), and as just noted, their own national financial planning conference.
Yet CPA financial planners are a rising force in financial planning… and at some point in the next few years, will have to make a decision about whether or how they will engage with “the rest” of the financial planning world.
In December, Congress passed the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011, which extended the 2 percentage point payroll tax "holiday" of 2011 into the first two months of 2012. However, to offset the nearly $20 billion cost of the payroll tax cut extension (along with a few other provisions), Congress adjusted the so-called guarantee fee charged by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHA, mandating that the fee must rise by at least 10 basis points. The new g-fee increase is set to apply beginning on April 1, 2012 (no fooling!), and its effects are already being felt as borrowers look to set 45- and 60-day rate lock guarantees on current purchases and refinances. The net impact to clients: if there's a purchase or refinance being considered, it could be worth many thousands of dollars to get the loan done as soon as possible.Read More...
